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Macroeconomic data continued to soften through the month, indicating a continuous slowing of the global economy. Composite PMI for Jul-22 moved into the contraction zone for the US (led by Services) and Europe
In the fight between Russia and Ukraine, global growth has succumbed. Centralbanks are also waging war against inflation, crucifying growth.
With so many political superpowers having vested interests in the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, calls for a diplomatic solution have often been countered with the need for more military action.
The world economy entered 2022 with durable tailwinds but had to soon weather the storm in the form of multiple headwinds arising from the Russia- Ukraine war, decade-high inflation, aggressive monetary tightening by global central bankers and China’s strict enforcement of the zero-Covid policy.
The Ukraine conflict has been raging for more than a month now and has increased uncertainty in the near term. Consumers are already struggling with high inflation, which has led to a steady and gradual erosion of their purchasing power.
The World entered the pandemic at the peak of the US-China trade war and exited right into the Russia-Ukraine territorial war. What began as a “special military operation” by Putin to “denazify” Ukraine soon turned into a War with unprovoked attacks on civilian facilities, including nuclear power plants. Global powers, except for China, have either …
The Omicron wave’s overall impact on economic revival was much lower than initially thought. Though IMF has downgraded the GDP growth forecasts in the latest WEO vs. the earlier one, they are still above -trend levels instilling confidence in the recovery.
2021 ended on a low note and with the same headline issues prevalent in 2020; just one difference – virus variant.
Just as the world was reopening at full speed, the emergence of a highly mutated variant – first detected in South Africa, named Omicron, and classified a VoC by WHO – could throw a spanner in the wheels.